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PacNet #22 - ADMM-dialogue partners informal meetings as a source of regional stability
Defense diplomacy efforts led by the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) have advanced significantly since the inaugural ASEAN Defence Ministers’ Meeting (ADMM) in 2006. A development that has recently gained prominence is the ADMM’s engagement with individual dialogue partners.
“Putin Is Corrupt” and Other Uncertainties Related to U.S. Policy toward Russia
During a BBC interview aired on January 25, a surprising and seemingly “out of the blue” comment from Adam Szubin, U.S. acting under secretary of the treasury for terrorism and financial intelligence, had many people scratching their heads. Szubin in essence said President Vladimir Putin of Russia is corrupt.
PacNet #11A - Australia’s submarine decision: a matter of grand strategy
Australia’s future submarine program is the largest and most complex defense procurement in the nation’s history. The decision as to which submarine to choose has become one of grand strategy with far-reaching economic, political, and strategic consequences.
Issues & Insights Vol. 16 - No. 4 - Implementing Strategic Trade Controls in Asia Pacific
The Pacific Forum CSIS, National Chengchi University’s Institute for International Relations, and the Prospect Foundation, with support from the US Department of State’s Export Control and Related Border Security (EXBS) Program and the Taiwan Ministry of Foreign Affairs, held an Asia-Pacific dialogue on strategic trade controls (STC) in Taipei, Taiwan on November 5-6, 2015.
“To Leave, or Not to Leave…That is the Question:” 121 Days Until the UK Referendum
Prior to the UK General Elections in May 2013, Prime Minister David Cameron pledged, if reelected, to hold a nation-wide referendum on the United Kingdom’s continued membership in a “reformed EU.” After days of high drama in Brussels, a “reform” deal between the 27 members of the European Union and the United Kingdom has been reached.
Afghanistan: The Uncertain Impact of a Year of Transition
A previous Burke Chair report has addressed the fact that it has now been a year since U.S. and International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) combat forces formally left Afghanistan.
The Honorable Tom Malinowski: Special Address at the Center for Strategic and International Studies
A special address delivered by The Honorable Tom Malinowski at the “North Korea: The Human Rights and Security Nexus” conference held in the Center for Strategic and International Studies, as released by the U.S. Department of State.
Seeing the Forest through the SAMs on Woody Island
The recent deployment of Chinese surface-to-air missiles (SAMs) to Woody Island is a notable tactical development, but a far more significant strategic signal.
A Tumultuous 2016 in the South China Sea
This promises to be a landmark year for the claimant countries and other interested parties in the South China Sea disputes. Developments that have been under way for several years, especially China’s island-building campaign in the Spratlys and Manila’s arbitration case against Beijing, will come to fruition.
PacNet #21 - Taiwanese presidential transitions need less turbulence
Tsai Ing-wen and the Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) historic victory last month was largely driven by domestic political and economic concerns, but brings with it significant geopolitical implications.
Paying for America’s Wars in FY2017
The United States is exceptionally transparent in reporting on its military activities and spending – but only in comparison to the far more limited level of transparency in most other governments. Security and “spin” still limit or color much of the official reporting, and it is often difficult to track any clear relationship between U.S.
Managing Risk for the Internet of Things
The term Internet of Things (IoT) was first used in the 1990s to describe networked devices with computing power and Internet addresses. Like so many Internet predictions, the idea of an IoT was premature; but by 2008, machines outnumbered people as Internet “users.” These machines connect wirelessly, take action, and create data.
Posturing and Politics for Encryption
The encryption debate has been largely unencumbered by facts. That deserves a separate discussion, but for now, let us consider Apple’s stout refusal to cooperate with the FBI in gaining access to data stored on the phone of one of the San Bernardino murderers.
PacNet #20 - South Korea’s big strategic bet to rein in North Korea
In US presidential politics, a candidate suspending their campaign means that they are dropping out of the race.
The Strategic Impact of Iran’s Rising Petroleum Exports After Sanctions
The decades since the first major oil embargo in 1973 have shown all too clearly that no one can predict oil and gas prices and petroleum export revenues.
Jihad & a Geopolitical G-X: Winning the War and Building the Peace
The civilized world is still being caught flat-footed by global Jihad, but at least we’re now realizing that our societies are engaged in a whole new kind of conflict—with a decentralized nonstate enemy, fueled by an archaic-techno mix of messianic theology and social media outreach.
PacNet #18 - The current and future of Vietnam – US defense relations
Since the two countries established diplomatic relations in 1995, defense ties between Vietnam and the United States have been based on three pillars. The first is the overall positive framework of Vietnam-US relations, which created a favorable platform for the development of defense relations (especially with the establishment of the Comprehensive Partnership in July 2013).
Issues and Insights Vol. 16, No. 3 - The Future of Nonproliferation Cooperation with Myanmar after the 2015 General Election
The Pacific Forum CSIS, with support from the US Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration (DOE/NNSA) and the UK’s Foreign and Commonwealth Office’s Strategic Programme Fund (FCO/SPF), held the third US/UK-Myanmar Nonproliferation Dialogue in Yangon, Myanmar on Dec. 9-10, 2015.
PacNet #17 - China’s resurgence and its effects on transatlantic relations
China’s resurgence, particularly since the turn of the century, has had global repercussions, as any number of studies of this phenomenon attest. The longer-term implications for one of the most significant coalitions in global history – transatlantic relations – are potentially profound, and potentially profoundly disruptive.
Of Complexes and Generals
Kim Jong-un has had a busy start to 2016, with a nuclear test in January, a claimed hydrogen bomb test and his third overall, and a long-range missile/satellite test over the weekend added to his list of ever growing accompl