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PacNet #21 - Taiwanese presidential transitions need less turbulence

CSIS - Wed, 02/17/2016 - 10:00pm

Tsai Ing-wen and the Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) historic victory last month was largely driven by domestic political and economic concerns, but brings with it significant geopolitical implications.

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Categories: Defense Policy

Paying for America’s Wars in FY2017

CSIS - Wed, 02/17/2016 - 10:00pm

The United States is exceptionally transparent in reporting on its military activities and spending – but only in comparison to the far more limited level of transparency in most other governments. Security and “spin” still limit or color much of the official reporting, and it is often difficult to track any clear relationship between U.S.

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Categories: Defense Policy

Managing Risk for the Internet of Things

CSIS - Tue, 02/16/2016 - 10:00pm

The term Internet of Things (IoT) was first used in the 1990s to describe networked devices with computing power and Internet addresses. Like so many Internet predictions, the idea of an IoT was premature; but by 2008, machines outnumbered people as Internet “users.” These machines connect wirelessly, take action, and create data.

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Categories: Defense Policy

Posturing and Politics for Encryption

CSIS - Tue, 02/16/2016 - 10:00pm

The encryption debate has been largely unencumbered by facts. That deserves a separate discussion, but for now, let us consider Apple’s stout refusal to cooperate with the FBI in gaining access to data stored on the phone of one of the San Bernardino murderers.

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Categories: Defense Policy

PacNet #20 - South Korea’s big strategic bet to rein in North Korea

CSIS - Mon, 02/15/2016 - 10:00pm

In US presidential politics, a candidate suspending their campaign means that they are dropping out of the race.

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Categories: Defense Policy

The Strategic Impact of Iran’s Rising Petroleum Exports After Sanctions

CSIS - Sun, 02/14/2016 - 10:00pm

The decades since the first major oil embargo in 1973 have shown all too clearly that no one can predict oil and gas prices and petroleum export revenues.

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Categories: Defense Policy

Jihad & a Geopolitical G-X: Winning the War and Building the Peace

CSIS - Thu, 02/11/2016 - 10:00pm

The civilized world is still being caught flat-footed by global Jihad, but at least we’re now realizing that our societies are engaged in a whole new kind of conflict—with a decentralized nonstate enemy, fueled by an archaic-techno mix of messianic theology and social media outreach.

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Categories: Defense Policy

PacNet #18 - The current and future of Vietnam – US defense relations

CSIS - Wed, 02/10/2016 - 10:00pm

Since the two countries established diplomatic relations in 1995, defense ties between Vietnam and the United States have been based on three pillars. The first is the overall positive framework of Vietnam-US relations, which created a favorable platform for the development of defense relations (especially with the establishment of the Comprehensive Partnership in July 2013).

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Categories: Defense Policy

Issues and Insights Vol. 16, No. 3 - The Future of Nonproliferation Cooperation with Myanmar after the 2015 General Election

CSIS - Wed, 02/10/2016 - 10:00pm

The Pacific Forum CSIS, with support from the US Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration (DOE/NNSA) and the UK’s Foreign and Commonwealth Office’s Strategic Programme Fund (FCO/SPF), held the third US/UK-Myanmar Nonproliferation Dialogue in Yangon, Myanmar on Dec. 9-10, 2015.

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Categories: Defense Policy

PacNet #17 - China’s resurgence and its effects on transatlantic relations

CSIS - Tue, 02/09/2016 - 10:00pm

China’s resurgence, particularly since the turn of the century, has had global repercussions, as any number of studies of this phenomenon attest. The longer-term implications for one of the most significant coalitions in global history – transatlantic relations – are potentially profound, and potentially profoundly disruptive.

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Categories: Defense Policy

Of Complexes and Generals

CSIS - Tue, 02/09/2016 - 10:00pm

Kim Jong-un has had a busy start to 2016, with a nuclear test in January, a claimed hydrogen bomb test and his third overall, and a long-range missile/satellite test over the weekend added to his list of ever growing accompl

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Categories: Defense Policy

Erdogan Denounces U.S. Position on the PYD

CSIS - Tue, 02/09/2016 - 10:00pm

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s exceptionally harsh comments directed at the United States on February 10 for its links with the Syrian Kurdish Democratic Union Party (PYD) have brought to the surface simmering tensions in the relationship because of the Syrian crisis.

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Categories: Defense Policy

The European Reassurance Initiative

CSIS - Mon, 02/08/2016 - 10:00pm

The president’s FY 2017 budget proposes to quadruple funding for the European Reassurance Initiative (ERI) to $3.4 billion, up from $789 million in FY 2016. The request represents a significant reinvestment in the U.S. military presence in Europe after decades of gradual withdrawal.

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Categories: Defense Policy

Defense versus Mandatory Spending: What Drives the Burden on the Budget and Economy?

CSIS - Mon, 02/08/2016 - 10:00pm

There is a mild irony in the fact that the New Hampshire primary will occur on the same day that the Department of Defense issues its new FY2017 defense budget briefing.

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Categories: Defense Policy

PacNet #14R - Response to PacNet #14 “The Japan-Korea comfort women deal: this is only the beginning”

CSIS - Mon, 02/08/2016 - 10:00pm

I concur with most of the points in “The Japan-Korea comfort women deal: this is only the beginning” by Scott Snyder and Brad Glosserman. Let me add several points to clarify this complex issue.

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Categories: Defense Policy

North Korea’s February 2016 Satellite Launch

CSIS - Sun, 02/07/2016 - 10:00pm

Q1: What did North Korea launch?

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Categories: Defense Policy

PacNet #16 - North Korea missile launch: what comes next?

CSIS - Sun, 02/07/2016 - 10:00pm

A month and a day after conducting its fourth nuclear test, North Korea launched a multi-stage rocket carrying a 440-pound satellite. The launch of the Taepodong missile defied a United Nations ban, once again placing North Korea in direct defiance of international norms.

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Categories: Defense Policy

The Absence of Consensus

CSIS - Sun, 02/07/2016 - 10:00pm
  •  The latest missile test this weekend (February 7) indicates DPRK fluency with long-range missile launch technology -- they know how to put a payload into orbit.  Unclear is whether they can accurately guide a warhead back through the atmosphere to a target thousands of miles away.
Categories: Defense Policy

Now Comes the Hard Part: Five Priorities in the Continuing Fight against Boko Haram

CSIS - Thu, 02/04/2016 - 10:00pm

Boko Haram militants launched a brutal assault on three villages just outside of the Borno State capital of Maiduguri on Saturday, fire-bombing houses, detonating improvised explosives and suicide vests, and leaving an estimated 85 to 100 people dead. Assailants reportedly seized food and livestock before torching the villages of Dalori, Walori, and Kofa.

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Categories: Defense Policy
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